Predicting the future is hard

Wired is running an interesting and funny story on the 15 dumbest predictions about Apple. There are several about the ultimate demise of the company - though admittedly most of them come from the mid 90's when Apple's goose was pretty much cooked. Other funny things - the failure of the first iMac because it didn't have a floppy drive and the first iPhone being like an iPod with a scroll wheel. I guess this all just goes to show that business is just as much luck as it is strategy and that the future is really known to nobody.